JUNE PREDICTIONS:
Everyone loves to act as if they know everything about everything. That's why everyone and their mother calls out HOMERUN when Manny's at the plate with the game on the line.(I am one of those people.) I have called several Ortiz game winners, I have been wrong most of the time, but I don't talk about those games. That might be why I love boxing so much you have a 50/50 shot at predicting the winner. And many times the underdog is no slouch, so if you pick the underdog and you're correct people think you're the man!(at least in your head.) So here are my predictions for some upcoming bouts, a few of these may surprise you.
JUNE 3RD
DIEGO CORRALES vs. JOSE LUIS CASTILLO III
OK first off I'm going to say that this trilogy happened a little too fast for me. Not to say I'm not excited about this fight, I just wish it was the second fight this weekend not the third. That being said I will be hunkered down with some brewskies and thoughts of knock outs running through my head. This time around I feel that the weight issue will catch up to Castillo. I know he wishes people would stop making a big deal about it but, it is a big deal. They have been monitoring his weight throughout training, so I think that means he has had to make weight several times through out the weeks. I also believe that Caorrales wants this win more than anything else. Where as in the second fight he just wanted to beat Castillo at his own game and show everyone how tough he was. This time around Corrales will box instead of standing in and taking unnecessary punishment. PREDICTION CORRALES KO 9
JUNE 10TH
BERNARD HOPKINS vs. ANTONIO TARVER
If you're one of the three people who actually read my blog you know that Bernard Hopkins is one of my favorite fighters. So you have to know that I am not going pick against him. Even though he is the underdog going in I feel strongly that he will pull off the upset, and it's not just because I like him better. The experts are making a big deal about a few things and they all pertain to Hopkins. (Going up in weight, his age,he lost his last two fights). Well let me point out a few details about Tarver:
1. He just shot a movie where he played a heavyweight(rocky 6), therefore he is coming down in weight. I think that is harder on the body then bulking up.
2. Tarver is no spring chicken at the age of 37 he only beats Hopkins by 4 years. Four years would be an advantage between a 32 year old and a 28 year old but once your over 35 it's all up in the air.
3. Tarver has won his last two fights but it was to a couple of guys who beat him previously, and I don't know anyone other than Tarver who would brag about his performance in the third Jones fight.
Now I'm not saying Hopkins doesn't have his work cut out for him, I just think people are expecting too much from Tarver. I think Hopkins is crafty enough to avoid Tarvers big shots, and will wear him down as the fight goes on. (Similar to the first fight with Taylor). Tarver doesn't have youth on his side like Taylor and he has a habit of fading down the stretch. PREDICTION: HOPKINS UD
JUNE 10TH
MIGUEL COTTO vs. PAUL MALIGNAGGI
This is the pick some may call me crazy for. Maybe I've gotten caught up in the hype, maybe I like listening to Malignaggi run his mouth, maybe I just like going against the grain. I don't know what it is but I think Malignaggi can win this fight. He hasn't fought the same kind of opposition as Cotto and doesn't pack a knockout punch. (Paulie only has six ko's in 21 fights). But neither had Collazo before he fought Hatton and look what happened. I know Collazo got the loss, but did anyone expect him wobble Hatton or even lose a cotoversial decision? I happen to agree with what paulie has said all along, that his style alone will beat Cotto. Paulie is a fast handed, quick footed, fundamental boxer. Cotto is a flat footed, hard puncher. Now I'm not saying that Cotto isn't talented, Malignaggi has to have a perfect fight to win. Cotto has a ton of power and if Paulie isn't ready Cotto will make him feel it. I just happen to see a very similar match up as the Lacy - Calzaghe fight. If Paulie is in shape I see him using his jab and moving away from Cotto's left all night. Now Cotto is the heavy favorite and very obviously the more popular fighter so Malignaggi has to win convincingly. I think he has the ability to do it. PREDICTION: MAIGNAGGI UD
JUNE 17TH
WINKY WRIGHT vs. JERMAIN TAYLOR
This could one of the most difficult fights to pick that I've everseen. Both guys are very good, have solid jabs, and could beat just about anyone else. The match up kind of reminds me of the Hopkins-Taylor fight. Winky is somewhat like Hopkins in the way that he is a slick, crafty, veteran known for his defensive prowess. The thing that makes him different is that his defense is not good, it's great. He has man handled some of the best fighters in the world, Tito Trinidad, Shane Mosley twice, and lost a controversial decision to Fernando Vargas. The one thing I look at is the fact that all of these fighters were in a weight class above what they normally had fought at previously. Mosley fought most of his career at 147, and Trinidad fought mostly at 154, both moved up a weight class after their prime to fight Winky. Now Winky who has fought most of his career at 154(he has fought 5 times at 160) and will take on a naturally stronger foe in Taylor. Jermain is not just a natural middleweight, but a big one at that. Jermain has a great jab and since his last two fights were against Bernard Hopkins he has seen trickery and defense at it's best. I think he is much stronger than Winky and after fighting Hopkins twice will be more patient than Trinidad was. PREDICTION: TAYLOR UD
I'm very sorry to be long winded, but I am excited about all of these fights. Once again if I am wrong on any of these I will erase the entry and deny everything.
Everyone loves to act as if they know everything about everything. That's why everyone and their mother calls out HOMERUN when Manny's at the plate with the game on the line.(I am one of those people.) I have called several Ortiz game winners, I have been wrong most of the time, but I don't talk about those games. That might be why I love boxing so much you have a 50/50 shot at predicting the winner. And many times the underdog is no slouch, so if you pick the underdog and you're correct people think you're the man!(at least in your head.) So here are my predictions for some upcoming bouts, a few of these may surprise you.
JUNE 3RD
DIEGO CORRALES vs. JOSE LUIS CASTILLO III
OK first off I'm going to say that this trilogy happened a little too fast for me. Not to say I'm not excited about this fight, I just wish it was the second fight this weekend not the third. That being said I will be hunkered down with some brewskies and thoughts of knock outs running through my head. This time around I feel that the weight issue will catch up to Castillo. I know he wishes people would stop making a big deal about it but, it is a big deal. They have been monitoring his weight throughout training, so I think that means he has had to make weight several times through out the weeks. I also believe that Caorrales wants this win more than anything else. Where as in the second fight he just wanted to beat Castillo at his own game and show everyone how tough he was. This time around Corrales will box instead of standing in and taking unnecessary punishment. PREDICTION CORRALES KO 9
JUNE 10TH
BERNARD HOPKINS vs. ANTONIO TARVER
If you're one of the three people who actually read my blog you know that Bernard Hopkins is one of my favorite fighters. So you have to know that I am not going pick against him. Even though he is the underdog going in I feel strongly that he will pull off the upset, and it's not just because I like him better. The experts are making a big deal about a few things and they all pertain to Hopkins. (Going up in weight, his age,he lost his last two fights). Well let me point out a few details about Tarver:
1. He just shot a movie where he played a heavyweight(rocky 6), therefore he is coming down in weight. I think that is harder on the body then bulking up.
2. Tarver is no spring chicken at the age of 37 he only beats Hopkins by 4 years. Four years would be an advantage between a 32 year old and a 28 year old but once your over 35 it's all up in the air.
3. Tarver has won his last two fights but it was to a couple of guys who beat him previously, and I don't know anyone other than Tarver who would brag about his performance in the third Jones fight.
Now I'm not saying Hopkins doesn't have his work cut out for him, I just think people are expecting too much from Tarver. I think Hopkins is crafty enough to avoid Tarvers big shots, and will wear him down as the fight goes on. (Similar to the first fight with Taylor). Tarver doesn't have youth on his side like Taylor and he has a habit of fading down the stretch. PREDICTION: HOPKINS UD
JUNE 10TH
MIGUEL COTTO vs. PAUL MALIGNAGGI
This is the pick some may call me crazy for. Maybe I've gotten caught up in the hype, maybe I like listening to Malignaggi run his mouth, maybe I just like going against the grain. I don't know what it is but I think Malignaggi can win this fight. He hasn't fought the same kind of opposition as Cotto and doesn't pack a knockout punch. (Paulie only has six ko's in 21 fights). But neither had Collazo before he fought Hatton and look what happened. I know Collazo got the loss, but did anyone expect him wobble Hatton or even lose a cotoversial decision? I happen to agree with what paulie has said all along, that his style alone will beat Cotto. Paulie is a fast handed, quick footed, fundamental boxer. Cotto is a flat footed, hard puncher. Now I'm not saying that Cotto isn't talented, Malignaggi has to have a perfect fight to win. Cotto has a ton of power and if Paulie isn't ready Cotto will make him feel it. I just happen to see a very similar match up as the Lacy - Calzaghe fight. If Paulie is in shape I see him using his jab and moving away from Cotto's left all night. Now Cotto is the heavy favorite and very obviously the more popular fighter so Malignaggi has to win convincingly. I think he has the ability to do it. PREDICTION: MAIGNAGGI UD
JUNE 17TH
WINKY WRIGHT vs. JERMAIN TAYLOR
This could one of the most difficult fights to pick that I've everseen. Both guys are very good, have solid jabs, and could beat just about anyone else. The match up kind of reminds me of the Hopkins-Taylor fight. Winky is somewhat like Hopkins in the way that he is a slick, crafty, veteran known for his defensive prowess. The thing that makes him different is that his defense is not good, it's great. He has man handled some of the best fighters in the world, Tito Trinidad, Shane Mosley twice, and lost a controversial decision to Fernando Vargas. The one thing I look at is the fact that all of these fighters were in a weight class above what they normally had fought at previously. Mosley fought most of his career at 147, and Trinidad fought mostly at 154, both moved up a weight class after their prime to fight Winky. Now Winky who has fought most of his career at 154(he has fought 5 times at 160) and will take on a naturally stronger foe in Taylor. Jermain is not just a natural middleweight, but a big one at that. Jermain has a great jab and since his last two fights were against Bernard Hopkins he has seen trickery and defense at it's best. I think he is much stronger than Winky and after fighting Hopkins twice will be more patient than Trinidad was. PREDICTION: TAYLOR UD
I'm very sorry to be long winded, but I am excited about all of these fights. Once again if I am wrong on any of these I will erase the entry and deny everything.
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